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EXCLUSIVE

How countries rank on a per-capita basis

This table of world countries is sorted in descending order of total Covid-19 cases identified to date (see the column under “CASES” labeled “Total cases”).  Note that while the U.S. ranks #1 in total cases, it only ranks #14 in terms of total cases per million population (see the adjacent column labeled “Total cases/1M pop”).  Similarly, the U.S. ranks #1 in total identified deaths to date, but it’s only #13 in terms of deaths per million population

Conclusion: It isn’t fair to say, as some have been saying, that the U.S. has “the world’s worst outbreak” of Covid-19 — at least not on a population-adjusted basis.

That said, there is cause for concern in that the U.S.’s percentage growth in deaths yesterday (see the column under “DEATHS” labeled “Total deaths/1M pop”) was 10% and Canada’s was 16% — higher than any of the other top countries in this ranker. (Math note: A consistent 10% means that a count will double every week; a consistent 15% means that a count will double every five days.)

Another math note:  Although the White House task force has been bragging about the number of U.S. tests that have been conducted to date, as a percentage of the population the U.S. ranks only in 35th place among countries, with only .9% of its population having been tested so far.

Data source: Worldometers.info, using data through April 14th.

POPULATION   CASES         DEATHS         TESTING
Rank Population (in millions) Country   Rank Total cases Rank  Total cases/1M pop  Increase yesterday   Rank Total deaths Rank  Total deaths/1M pop  Increase yesterday   Rank % of population tested
3      330.9 USA   1 613,886 14    1,855 5%   1      26,047 13          79 10%   35 0.9%
27        46.8 Spain   2 174,060 6    3,723 2%   3      18,255 3       390 3%   28 1.3%
22        60.5 Italy   3 162,488 9    2,687 2%   2      21,067 5       348 3%   17 1.8%
21        65.3 France   4 143,303 13    2,195 5%   4      15,729 6       241 5%   49 0.5%
17        83.8 Germany 5 132,210 18    1,578 2%   8         3,495 19          42 9%   20 1.6%
20        67.9 UK   6 93,873 20    1,383 6%   5      12,107 7       178 7%   43 0.6%
1   1,443.0 China   7 82,249 88          57 0%   9         3,341 73            2 0%   117-T 0.0%
16        84.0 Iran   8 74,877 27       891 2%   6         4,683 15          56 2%   63 0.3%
15        84.3 Turkey   9 65,111 31       772 7%   12         1,403 32          17 8%   48 0.5%
60        11.6 Belgium 10 31,119 10    2,685 2%   7         4,157 4       359 7%   36 0.9%
55        17.1 Netherlands 11 27,419 16    1,600 3%   10         2,945 8       172 4%   38 0.8%
34        37.7 Canada   12 27,063 32       717 5%   15            903 22          24 16%   32 1.2%
75           8.7 Switzerland 13 25,936 7    2,997 1%   13         1,174 9       136 3%   11 2.3%
6      212.3 Brazil   14 25,262 75       119 8%   11         1,532 48            7 15%   96 0.0%
9      145.5 Russia   15 21,102 71       145 15%   32            170 87            1 15%   34 1.0%
65        10.2 Portugal 16 17,448 15    1,711 3%   16            567 16          56 6%   14 1.9%
73           9.0 Austria   17 14,226 17    1,580 1%   20            384 18          43 4%   19 1.7%
76           8.7 Israel   18 12,046 19    1,392 4%   38            123 35          14 6%   25 1.4%
2   1,435.9 India   19 11,487 117            8 10%   19            393 110            0 10%   103 0.0%
91           4.9 Ireland   20 11,479 12    2,325 8%   18            406 12          82 11%   15 1.8%
68        10.1 Sweden 21 11,445 23    1,133 5%   14         1,033 11       102 12%   47 0.5%
25        51.3 S. Korea 22 10,564 63       206 0%   29            222 57            4 2%   33 1.0%
38        33.0 Peru   23 10,303 57       312 5%   28            230 50            7 6%   65 0.3%
51        19.1 Chile   24 7,917 47       414 5%   46              92 56            5 12%   51 0.5%
11      127.2 Japan   25 7,885 85          62 4%   34            146 88            1 2%   91 0.1%
54        17.6 Ecuador 26 7,603 44       431 1%   21            369 28          21 4%   81 0.1%
33        37.9 Poland   27 7,202 64       190 4%   27            263 51            7 7%   58 0.4%
50        19.2 Romania 28 6,879 52       358 4%   22            351 30          18 6%   62 0.4%
87           5.4 Norway   29 6,623 21    1,222 0%   35            139 21          26 4%   10 2.4%
84           5.8 Denmark 30 6,511 24    1,124 3%   26            299 17          52 5%   29 1.3%
44        25.5 Australia 31 6,400 61       251 1%   52              61 71            2 0%   24 1.4%
63        10.7 Czechia 32 6,111 35.5       571 1%   33            161 34          15 13%   31 1.2%
5      224.5 Pakistan 33 5,837 103          26 6%   43              96 105            0 3%   95 0.0%
36        34.9 Saudi Arabia 34 5,369 69       154 9%   49              73 77            2 12%   55 0.4%
12      108.8 Philippines 35 5,223 91          48 6%   23            335 62            3 6%   94 0.0%
10      128.6 Mexico   36 5,014 95.5          39 8%   24            332 67            3 12%   97 0.0%
39        32.4 Malaysia 37 4,987 68       154 4%   47              82 68            3 6%   70 0.3%
70           9.9 UAE   38 4,933 39       499 9%   68.5              28 64            3 12%   3 6.6%
4      268.8 Indonesia 39 4,839 112          18 6%   17            459 84            2 15%   106 0.0%
74           8.7 Serbia   40 4,465 38       511 10%   45              94 40          11 11%   68 0.3%
93           4.3 Panama 41 3,574 29       828 3%   44              95 26          22 1%   60 0.4%
101           2.9 Qatar   42 3,428 22    1,190 6%   97              7 70            2 0%   16 1.8%
30        43.8 Ukraine   43 3,372 79          77 9%   42              98 76            2 5%   90 0.1%
114           0.6 Luxembourg 44 3,307 3    5,283 0%   50              67 10       107 0%   4 4.7%
62        10.8 Dominican Republic 45 3,286 58       303 4%   30            183 31          17 3%   88 0.1%
72           9.5 Belarus   46 3,281 54       347 12%   62              33 59            3 14%   39 0.8%
83           5.8 Singapore 47 3,252 37       556 11%   86              10 83            2 11%   30 1.2%

Here’s a condensed version of the above table, sorted by “Total cases/1M pop,” using data from one day earlier (through April 13th), in case you would like to compare “% increase” trends:

Population (in millions) Country  Total cases/1M pop  Increase on 4/13  Total deaths/1M pop  Increase on 4/13 % of population tested
          46.8 Spain     3,638 2%        380 3% 1.3%
          60.5 Italy     2,638 2%        338 3% 1.7%
          11.6 Belgium     2,639 3%        337 8% 0.9%
          65.3 France     2,095 3%        229 4% 0.5%
          67.9 UK     1,305 5%        167 7% 0.5%
          17.1 Netherlands     1,550 4%        165 3% 0.7%
            8.7 Switzerland     2,968 1%        131 3% 2.2%
          10.1 Sweden     1,084 4%          91 2% 0.5%
            4.9 Ireland     2,156 10%          74 9% 1.5%
        331.0 USA     1,773 5%          71 7% 0.9%
          84.0 Iran        873 2%          55 2% 0.3%
          10.2 Portugal     1,661 2%          52 6% 1.8%
            5.8 Denmark     1,091 2%          49 4% 1.2%
            9.0 Austria     1,559 1%          41 5% 1.6%
          83.8 Germany     1,552 2%          38 6% 1.6%
            5.4 Norway     1,218 1%          25 5% 2.3%
            4.3 Panama        805 2%          22 8% 0.4%
          37.8 Canada        680 5%          21 9% 1.2%
          17.6 Ecuador        427 1%          20 7% 0.1%
          19.2 Romania        345 5%          17 5% 0.3%
          10.8 Dom. Rep.        292 7%          16 2% 0.1%
          84.3 Turkey        724 7%          15 8% 0.5%
          10.7 Czechia        566 1%          13 4% 1.2%
            8.7 Israel     1,339 4%          13 13% 1.4%
            9.7 Hungary        151 3%          11 10% 0.4%
            5.5 Finland        553 3%          11 5% 0.8%
            8.7 Serbia        464 12%          10 6% 0.2%
          10.4 Greece        206 1%          10 1% 0.4%
            4.0 Moldova        424 3%            9 13% 0.2%
          44.1 Algeria          45 4%            7 7% 0.0%
          32.9 Peru        297 30%            7 12% 0.3%
        213.0 Brazil        110 6%            6 9% 0.0%
          37.9 Poland        183 4%            6 6% 0.4%
            4.1 Croatia        402 3%            6 9% 0.4%
            6.9 Bulgaria          99 1%            5 10% 0.3%
          51.2 S. Korea        206 0%            4 1% 1.0%
          19.1 Chile        394 4%            4 3% 0.4%
        109.6 Philippines          45 6%            3 6% 0.0%
          36.7 Morocco          48 6%            3 7% 0.0%
          11.9 Tunisia          61 3%            3 10% 0.1%
            9.9 Honduras          40 1%            3 0% 0.0%
            9.9 UAE        457 10%            3 14% 6.6%
            9.4 Belarus        309 13%            3 12% 0.7%
            6.8 Lebanon          93 0%            3 0% 0.2%
     1,441.4 China          57 0%            2 0% 0.0%
        129.5 Mexico          36 10%            2 8% 0.0%
        104.3 Egypt          21 6%            2 3% 0.0%
          50.9 Colombia          56 3%            2 3% 0.1%
          45.5 Argentina          50 6%            2 9% 0.0%
          43.7 Ukraine          71 12%            2 12% 0.1%
          40.5 Iraq          34 2%            2 3% 0.1%
          34.7 Saudi Arabia        142 11%            2 10% 0.3%
          32.3 Malaysia        149 3%            2 1% 0.3%
          25.5 Australia        249 1%            2 3% 1.4%
          11.8 Bolivia          28 10%            2 13% 0.0%
          11.3 Cuba          64 9%            2 17% 0.2%
            5.8 Singapore        499 15%            2 13% 1.2%
        268.1 Indonesia          17 7%            1 7% 0.0%
        145.5 Russia        126 16%            1 14% 0.9%
        127.0 Japan          60 3%            1 16% 0.1%